LUMN Signals SELL On 3 Hour Chart

The Technical Analysis

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Published: September 5, 2021 at 09:14 PM EDT

On September 3, 2021, Lumen Technologies Inc stock (LUMN) achieved a SELL signal on 3 of our proprietary algorithms indicating near-term downward movement for LUMN. Based on historically similar occurrences, the likelihood of this near-term movement is very high. Although this analysis may be technical, it clearly lays out targets for pending price action for LUMN. The chart of all potential movement is at the bottom of this article.

Multi-Time Frame Algorithm

This algorithm determines when price direction reverses at the same time on the Daily and 3 Hour chart. There are two buy and sell points for this algorithm. An aggressive signal occurs when price direction changes on both charts at the same time. A conservative signal occurs after the second bar confirms price direction has changed. Aggressive signals can happen without conservative signals. Conservative signals only occur when an aggressive signal also occurs at the same time. The signals appear on other time frame charts in the same position a cross-over occurs on the 3 Hour and Daily charts.

Multi-Time Frame Aggressive SELL - LUMN 3 Hour Chart Accuracy

This algorithm accurately identifies SELL points for LUMN on 3 hour charts 96.226% of the time it signals. A successful signal means the equity price moves down at least 0.75% over the next 40 3 Hour bars. When the algorithm properly performs, success is seen at least 1 trading bars after the signal closing price with a median max gain occurring around 21 trading bars after the signal bar. Successful signals see average reversals of 6.886% from the signal bar closing price and median reversals of 5.636%. The equity reverses greater than two percent 75.472% of the time, greater than five percent 50.943% of the time, and moves beyond ten percent 18.868% of occurrences. The signal does not necessarily mean an immediate price reversal will occur. Price reversal is delayed 94.34% of the time. In these instances, the reversals do not obey the signal and begin sizable downward movement for an additional 1 to 9 bars after the triggering signal occurs. This delay can see the equity rise 0.292% to 2.383% beyond the signal closing price of 12.12.

Analysis Based on This Section

Based on the signal closing price of 12.12, the target price is between 11.17 and 11.84 over the next 12 to 33 bars after the signal. However, the equity may first rise toward a price in the range of 12.16 to 12.41 over the first 1 to 9 trading bars.

Multi-Time Frame Conservative SELL - LUMN 3 Hour Chart Accuracy

This algorithm accurately identifies SELL points for LUMN on 3 hour charts 93.333% of the time it signals. A successful signal means the equity price moves down at least 0.75% over the next 40 3 Hour bars. When the algorithm properly performs, success is seen at least 1 trading bars after the signal closing price with a median max gain occurring around 21 trading bars after the signal bar. Successful signals see average reversals of 6.452% from the signal bar closing price and median reversals of 4.85%. The equity reverses greater than two percent 74.815% of the time, greater than five percent 45.926% of the time, and moves beyond ten percent 18.519% of occurrences. The signal does not necessarily mean an immediate price reversal will occur. Price reversal is delayed 91.111% of the time. In these instances, the reversals do not obey the signal and begin sizable downward movement for an additional 1 to 9 bars after the triggering signal occurs. This delay can see the equity rise 0.406% to 2.319% beyond the signal closing price of 12.12.

Analysis Based on This Section

Based on the signal closing price of 12.12, the target price is between 11.06 and 11.84 over the next 12 to 33 bars after the signal. However, the equity may first rise toward a price in the range of 12.17 to 12.4 over the first 1 to 9 trading bars.

Precise Signal

This algorithm combines the occurrence of Chris Moody's SlingShot indicator with my Multi-Time Frame Algorithm above. The frequency of both indicators occurring on their own is somewhat infrequent, however, simultaneous occurrences is quite rare.

Precise Signal SELL - LUMN 3 Hour Chart Accuracy

This algorithm accurately identifies SELL points for LUMN on 3 hour charts 100.0% of the time it signals. A successful signal means the equity price moves down at least 0.75% over the next 40 3 Hour bars. When the algorithm properly performs, success is seen at least 2 trading bars after the signal closing price with a median max gain occurring around 18 trading bars after the signal bar. Successful signals see average reversals of 5.385% from the signal bar closing price and median reversals of 4.7%. The equity reverses greater than two percent 78.571% of the time, greater than five percent 50.0% of the time, and moves beyond ten percent 14.286% of occurrences. The signal does not necessarily mean an immediate price reversal will occur. Price reversal is delayed 100.0% of the time. In these instances, the reversals do not obey the signal and begin sizable downward movement for an additional 1 to 9 bars after the triggering signal occurs. This delay can see the equity rise 0.263% to 3.042% beyond the signal closing price of 12.12.

Analysis Based on This Section

Based on the signal closing price of 12.12, the target price is between 11.31 and 11.82 over the next 12 to 30 bars after the signal. However, the equity may first rise toward a price in the range of 12.15 to 12.49 over the first 1 to 9 trading bars.

Summarization of Data

Based on all of the historical datapoints, this analysis has settled on the most likely courses of movement. The red boxes in the image below indicate the likely location of a rise if the signal is not immediately accurate. The green boxes likely hold the extent of signal accuracy. The larger boxes contain all movements aligned with historical data. The smaller box is comprised of the likely half of the median historical data. In this instance, half of the historical data shows the stock may first move up between 12.16 and 12.41. This is the small red box. Likewise, half of the historical target end points finish in the smaller green box. In this instance, the target bottom is likely between 11.17 and 11.84.

Chart displaying Reversals and Targets for LUMN

View this interactive chart on TradingView to see where the stock currently is for this idea.

DISCLOSURE: The algorithms and historical accuracy percentages mentioned in these articles are for reference only. Anything can happen in the future when it comes to market movement. Historical price action is not always indicative of future movement. Just because the signals may have a high degree of accuracy, they can always fail. Traders assume all risk to their assets when investing in short or long-term opportunities.

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