National Fuel Gas Company



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DATA TABLES

Last Updated March 26, 2022

SUCCESS TABLE

The success table identifies the percent of occurrences in which reasonable movement occurs in favor of the direction signaled by the algorithm.

TIMEFRAME / CHART TYPE (as a %)
30 Minute 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour Daily
Algo 1 75.0 84.615 91.176 84.848 82.353
Algo 2 70.0 82.609 92.308 92.857 90.909
Algo 3 77.778 86.364 85.714 88.889 83.333
MTF C 91.304 100.0 97.59 93.814 92.818
MTF A 95.506 94.483 96.137 91.02 89.333
SAG C 82.581 88.297 90.215 86.443 90.215
SAG A 83.391 88.725 90.19 87.5 88.832
MACD x 100.0 100.0 95.833 90.909 94.118
Precise 83.895 88.592 90.33 87.577 85.714
RSI 3x 78.75 92.935 87.571 93.023 93.421


SIGNALS TABLE

This table identifies how many signals have occurred for the particular equity, algorithm, and timeframe. It may be impossible to have studied every occurrence (depending on the timeframe and data availability). All statistics on this page relate to the number of studied signals in this table.

TIMEFRAME / CHART TYPE
30 Minute 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour Daily
Algo 1 40 52 34 33 17
Algo 2 20 23 13 14 11
Algo 3 18 22 14 9 6
MTF C 23 40 83 97 181
MTF A 89 145 233 245 375
SAG C 798 863 838 686 419
SAG A 1162 1153 1213 960 591
MACD x 6 13 24 22 34
Precise 1366 1271 1272 974 819
RSI 3x 160 184 177 129 76


25th QUARTILE GAINS TABLE

This table begins to identify how successful the algorithms are. The percentages in this table represent how much the stock moves on at least 25% of the signal's occurrences. For example, when the signal has indicated buy or sell in the past, the signal's accuracy yielded gains of 2%, 3%, 4%, 5%, 7%, 8%, 9%, and 10%. Three-quarters of the time, the stock moved at least 3%, half the time the signal executed lead to the stock moving at least 5%, and one-quarter of the occasions saw gains exceed 8%. This table displays the gains that are seen three-quarters of the time.

TIMEFRAME / CHART TYPE (as a %)
30 Minute 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour Daily
Algo 1 1.494 2.16 2.794 1.745 3.646
Algo 2 1.841 1.788 2.617 1.755 4.35
Algo 3 1.882 1.716 3.192 3.149 5.254
MTF C 1.764 1.828 1.865 2.081 3.324
MTF A 1.582 1.638 1.837 2.043 3.223
SAG C 1.297 1.551 1.802 2.225 3.131
SAG A 1.298 1.55 1.935 2.212 3.029
MACD x 3.101 1.187 0.99 2.204 3.241
Precise 1.238 1.51 1.822 2.253 3.354
RSI 3x 1.531 1.872 1.921 1.775 3.428


MEDIAN GAINS TABLE

This table continues to identify how successful the algorithms are. The percentages in this table represent how much the stock moves on at least 50% of the signal's occurrences. For example, when the signal has indicated buy or sell in the past, the signal's accuracy yielded gains of 2%, 3%, 4%, 5%, 7%, 8%, 9%, and 10%. Three-quarters of the time, the stock moved at least 3%, half the time the signal executed lead to the stock moving at least 5%, and one-quarter of the occasions saw gains exceed 8%. This table displays the gains that are seen half of the time.

TIMEFRAME / CHART TYPE (as a %)
30 Minute 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour Daily
Algo 1 2.268 3.099 3.483 4.22 4.982
Algo 2 2.65 3.027 3.299 3.628 4.982
Algo 3 3.057 3.954 4.164 5.946 7.212
MTF C 2.92 3.447 2.915 3.91 5.667
MTF A 2.813 3.178 3.241 3.859 5.563
SAG C 2.064 2.898 3.237 3.897 6.233
SAG A 2.087 2.94 3.328 3.996 6.117
MACD x 3.672 2.563 2.015 5.321 6.699
Precise 2.024 2.748 3.206 3.958 6.034
RSI 3x 2.369 3.193 3.298 3.636 6.5


75th QUARTILE GAINS TABLE

This table begins to identify how successful the algorithms are. The percentages in this table represent how much the stock moves on at least 25% of the signal's occurrences. For example, when the signal has indicated buy or sell in the past, the signal's accuracy yielded gains of 2%, 3%, 4%, 5%, 7%, 8%, 9%, and 10%. Three-quarters of the time, the stock moved at least 3%, half the time the signal executed lead to the stock moving at least 5%, and one-quarter of the occasions saw gains exceed 8%. This table displays the gains that are seen one-quarter of the time.

TIMEFRAME / CHART TYPE (as a %)
30 Minute 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour Daily
Algo 1 3.296 5.273 6.201 7.17 7.4
Algo 2 3.923 4.679 4.963 4.995 6.978
Algo 3 4.388 5.323 6.155 8.533 7.463
MTF C 3.765 4.395 5.886 7.187 9.795
MTF A 4.411 5.219 5.322 6.609 9.662
SAG C 3.316 5.137 5.309 6.493 10.186
SAG A 3.32 5.15 5.511 6.561 10.219
MACD x 3.994 6.266 2.798 7.641 9.279
Precise 3.319 4.7 5.347 6.529 9.488
RSI 3x 3.778 4.736 5.301 7.083 9.674


2% MOVEMENT TABLE

This table identifies the percent of occurrences in which the stock moves 2% in favor of the direction signaled by the algorithm.

TIMEFRAME / CHART TYPE (as a %)
30 Minute 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour Daily
Algo 1 45.0 65.385 82.353 60.606 76.471
Algo 2 50.0 56.522 84.615 64.286 90.909
Algo 3 55.556 59.091 85.714 66.667 83.333
MTF C 65.217 72.5 71.084 71.134 83.425
MTF A 64.045 64.138 69.528 68.571 80.0
SAG C 43.358 59.096 64.439 67.638 79.714
SAG A 44.492 59.237 65.787 68.438 76.819
MACD x 100.0 61.538 50.0 72.727 82.353
Precise 42.826 56.727 64.544 69.918 76.679
RSI 3x 43.75 68.478 64.407 67.442 80.263


5% MOVEMENT TABLE

This table identifies the percent of occurrences in which the stock moves 5% in favor of the direction signaled by the algorithm.

TIMEFRAME / CHART TYPE (as a %)
30 Minute 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour Daily
Algo 1 7.5 25.0 35.294 33.333 41.176
Algo 2 5.0 21.739 23.077 21.429 45.455
Algo 3 11.111 31.818 35.714 44.444 66.667
MTF C 0 17.5 28.916 37.113 55.249
MTF A 13.483 24.138 28.326 33.469 50.933
SAG C 9.524 23.175 25.418 33.236 52.745
SAG A 9.208 23.244 26.628 34.271 51.269
MACD x 0 30.769 12.5 50.0 58.824
Precise 9.444 19.67 25.943 34.086 49.573
RSI 3x 11.875 21.196 24.859 31.783 55.263